Methodology

STEP1: FORMULATE an open QUESTION
(Usually, but not restricted to, 'who/what/where/when/why/how/how much' type questions. The question is not one which can be answered with a 'yes/no' reply. Also avoid leading questions that contain a possible explanation within the question)

STEP2: GATHER all the SOURCES available
(objects, statements, photos, etc) & include references with comments on authenticity

STEP 3: EXTRACT all the FACTS from each source (1 source may yield multiple facts) by carefully analysing their details
(Sometimes what can NOT be found in the source is just as important as what is found)

STEP 4: INFER every possibile EXPLANATION from all the available facts
(this is where a wide knowledge-base and experience are required, coupled with the skill of linking them to the facts)

STEP 5: ELIMINATE the impossible EXPLANATIONS from the pool of possibilities
(by critically questioning & then disproving as many explanations as possible using sound, logical arguments supported with authentic evidence)

RESULT: What you are left with, regardless of how absurd it may seem, is most probably the TRUTH

Saturday, 24 January 2015

Who is The Reem Island Ghost?

SOURCES
SOURCE A: compilation of CCTV footage during Murder (1 December 2014) from Sun Tower, Reem Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE (released by Ministry of Defence, UAE - authentic)

SOURCE B: Photo of Murder Weapon - knife (contains official UAE Ministry of Defence logo - authentic)Horror: The murder weapon was found near the woman's body where it had been abandoned by her killer

SOURCE C: Photos of Murder Location - female toilets, Ground Floor, Boutique Mall, Reem Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE (contains official UAE Ministry of Defence logo - authentic)

SOURCE D: Photos of Murder Location - female toilets, Ground Floor, Boutique Mall, Reem Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE (contains official UAE Ministry of Defence logo - authentic)
Forensic investigation: The aftermath of the attack as police investigate what happened in the toilets

SOURCE E: Photo of Murder Victim: Ibolya Ryan, a 47-year-old divorced mother of three (left) and Murder Suspect (right) (contains official UAE Ministry of Defence logo - authentic)

SOURCE F: Eye-witness statement (Vithi Cuc, a Vietnamese restaurant employee, quoted by The National daily Newspaper)
was in a toilet cubicle when she heard banging sounds from the disabled toilet cubicle next door...heard two women arguing in the toilet and one threatening: "Sit down or I'll kill you". I heard one of them try to call out for help. By this time there were three of us outside the toilet and one of us ran to get security. 'When the female guard arrived they told us to leave the bathroom. I was so scared and frightened for her.' 

SOURCE G: Police statement (Colonel Rashid Bourscheid, head of Abu Dhabi's police criminal investigations department, quoted by The National daily Newspaper)
 "The victim was stabbed with a sharp object following an argument in the ladies toilets...brawl...The injured woman was immediately rushed to Sheikh Khalifa Medical City where she succumbed to the wounds she sustained in the attack,"

SOURCE H: Personal Statement by Victim: Ibolya Ryan (from Footprints Recruitment Agency)
Hello my name is Ibolya Ryan.  I am Hungarian, and I was born and raised in Romania.  I was trained as a teacher both in the USA and Europe, and I have worked in four different countries for the last 15 years.  I enjoy learning about other cultures, and as a person I enjoy being with others and tend to be an organizer of those around me.  Also I have high interest in other languages; one of my goals while here in the UAE is to gain some proficiency in Arabic.  
I live in Abu Dhabi with my 10-year-old twin boys and I teach in a big KG school, 35 minutes away from downtown Abu Dhabi. We are one of the NSM (New School Model) schools and we follow the co-teaching model between the Arabic and English teachers.

SOURCE I: Statement by Dr Amal Al Qubaisi, director general of the Abu Dhabi Education Council (quoted by The National daily Newspaper)
Mrs Ryan had worked as a kindergarten teacher at Al Oula School, Al Shawamikh area, Bani Yas, Abu Dhabi, UAE since last year

SOURCE J: Unnamed witness (quoted by The National daily Newspaper)
said he saw a woman bleeding on the floor outside the entrance to Waitrose

SOURCE K: witness Bernadette Ruizo, (manager of La Brioche restaurant near the scene of the murder)
"I heard she was stabbed five or six times"

FACTS


EVENTS LEADING UP TO MURDER
  • The murderer communicates with witness E (male security guard) before entering (Source A)
  • The murderer walks into the building at approximately 13:10, Monday 1st December 2014 (during a national holiday in the UAE) (Source A)
  • The murderer pushes the button for the lift and waits for it alone (Source A)
  • The murderer takes the lift up to the ground floor of the mall (Source A)
  • The murderer looks for a security guard and approaches witness F (male phillipino security guard) standing opposite the lifts (Source A)
  • The murderer communicates with witness F for 3-5 seconds (Source A)
  • The murderer walks calmly toward the toilets (Source A)
  • The murderer notices and briefly stops at a newspaper stand outside the toilet area to take a newspaper (Source A)
EVENTS DURING MURDER
  • The victim's name was Ibolya Ryan (Source H)
  • The victim was Hungarian (Source H)
  • The victim was born in Romania(Source H)
  • The victim had 2 sons; twins, 10-years old (Source H)
  • The victim has taught in Europe & USA prior (Source H)
  • The victim taught kindergarden (KG)(Source H)
  • The victim taught at Al Oula School (Abu Dhabi, UAE) for 1 year (Source I)
  • The victim had Arabic and English co-workers(Source H)
  • At the time of the incident the victim was inside a female-only environment (Source G)
  • At the time of the incident the victim was inside a toilet (Source C,D)
  • At the time of the incident the victim had a red bag (Source C)
  • At the time of the incident the victim was inside a cubicle for disabled persons (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident witness A (female employee) was in the cubicle next door to the victim (Source F)
  • The murderer and the victim communicated (argued) (Source F, G)
  • The victim could not speak Arabic fluently (Source H)
  • The murderer said "Sit down or I'll kill you" (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident either the victim or murderer called out for help (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident there was banging noises from the victim's cubicle (Source F)
  • The murderer physically struggled with the victim (Source H)
  • The murderer stabbed 5 or 6 times (Source K)
  • Blood dripped from the top half of the cubicle door (Source C)
  • At the time of the incident witness A, B and C were outside of the cubicles but inside the toilet (they told us to leave the bathroom) (Source F) - suggesting witness B and C were also female
  • At the time of the incident either witness B or C left the toilet to get security (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident witness D (female security officer) arrived with at least one other witness (they) (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident, witness A and the remaining witness (B or C) left the toilet (Source F)
  • At the time of the incident, no other witnesses came out from the toilets or were reported by the other witnesses (Source F)
EVENTS DIRECTLY AFTER MURDER
  • The murder weapon was left in the doorway of the toilet (Source B)
  • The murderer walks quickly toward the lifts (Source A)
  • Witness G (arab lady wearing hijab and white jacket) runs out from the toilet area just ahead of the murderer (Source A)
  • The lift doors open at 14:44:30 (Source A)
  • The he murderer gets into the lift alone at 14:44:32 (Source A)
  • The murderer exits the lift on the underground car park level at 14:45:07 (35 seconds) (Source A)
  • The murderer walks swiftly and speedily into the carpark toward the left where she came in from (Source A)
  • The victim did not die at the scene (Source G)
  • At the time of the incident there was a lot of blood droplets on the floor (Source D)
  • The victim left a trail of blood in the toilet (Source C, D, J)
  • Footprints (approx. length of 1 floor tile, not high-heels) can be seen in the blood (Source C)
  • The blood trail is inside one cubicle only and continues further into the toilet and to the exit of the toilet (Source C)
  • The victim eventually left the toilet (Source J)
  • The victim died later at Shaikh Khalifa Hospital (Source G)

DESCRIPTION OF MURDERER
Gender is Female
  • The murderer's height is slightly shorter than that of witness E
  • The murderer's voice and the victim's voice was not easily distinguishable by witness A (female) (Source F)
  • Witness F leans in to listen to murderer and quickly pulls away and points toward toilets (Source A)
  • The murderer walks side-to-side with a slight sway (Source A)
Murderer did not want to get caught
  • Murderer flees the scene (Source A)
  • The murderer is dressed in black, islamic religious woman's clothing (burqa - common in the UAE) which covers the face (Source A)
  • The murderer wears black gloves (uncommon in the UAE) (Source A)
  • The murderer's burqa is unstyled, fully black with little distinguishing features (not too common in the UAE) (Source A)
Premeditated / Planned Attack
  • The murderer comes from the left of the underground car park (Source A)
  • The murder weapon was brought in with the murderer and not found or bought in the waitrose supermarket nearby (Source A)
  • The murderer enters the toilets at 13:13 and exits at 14:44 (1hour 21mins) (Source A)
Murder was not the primary Motive (i.e. scare victim into giving something)
  • The murderer wanted the victim to sit down (Source F)
  • The murderer struggled with the victim before stabbing her (Source G)
  • The murderer used a large knife (blade length is just under the length of 1 floor tile) (Source G, B) 
  • No evidence to suggest sexual abuse or rape
  • The murderer did not ensure the victim was dead before leaving (Source G)
Not a professional killer
  • The murderer stabbed 5 or 6 times (Source K)
  • The murderer does not wait for the lift calmly but instead moves impatiently (Source A)
  • The murderer did not poison the victim (Source G)
  • The murderer stabbed and did not slice, slash, etc (Source G)

Possible Accomplices
  • Witness G presses the lift for the murderer at 14:44:22 (Source A)
  • Witness G communicates with the murderer from 14:44:25 until 14:44:30 (5 seconds) (Source A)
  • Witness G waves to Witness H (slim lady wearing stylish hijab and black dress) at 14:44:26 (Source A)
  • Witness H approaches with her arm outstretched to Witness G from the far right where she was waiting (Source A)
  • Witness G runs to Witness H and away from the murderer very quickly at 14:44:30 (the second the lift doors open) (Source A)
  • Witness H walks away but then returns toward the toilet area pointing at 14:44:37 (Source A)
Anomalies
  • The murderer's face veil is different to those worn by the local women of UAE
  • The murderer spoke in English (Source F)
  • The murder weapon has no blood on its blade side (Source B)

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